- Six months to go: US elections might be more unpredictable than you think
- 'It's like an unstoppable force meeting an immovable object'
- The win is not going to be easy for either of them
Six months to go: US elections might be more unpredictable than you think
Experts predict the end of elections that are coming this fall. However, some say that Donald Trump already has his win, and many previous polls showed significant support from the voters. Not it seems that Joe Biden, the President of the US, might have more support from the people of the country after all.
People think that citizens who suffered when D. Trump was president might not vote for him and show their support for J. Biden. Others start thinking that there is no way they could vote for either of these candidates, and votes are lost because there is 'no one to vote for', as people often say.
These days, experts report that there are more numbers to look over, and polls in various states and channels have resulted in pretty close results, meaning that neither of the two is promised a win. I guess candidates are not really happy about that because coming close to a tie is not the expected result.
"Do you know what really bothers me?" Donald Trump asked the crowd in Freeland, Michigan, on Wednesday night. "When those guys come on TV, you know, the experts who haven't really done much in their lives, and they say, 'We have two very unpopular candidates, Biden or Trump. They're both not very liked.'"
Standing in front of cheering supporters wearing Make America Great Again gear, with a plane labeled "Trump" in big gold letters behind him, the former US president argued a bit too strongly: "I'm not unpopular!" But opinion polls show otherwise, with many voters worried about his views on abortion, his legal troubles, and his impact on democracy[1].
'It's like an unstoppable force meeting an immovable object'
Luckily for Trump, Biden has his own problems with job performance, like dealing with inflation, immigration, and the situation in Gaza. He has to be President right now and keep himself from messing things up. Still, J. Biden needs to fight and show up for the possible new voters.
With only six months to go until one of the most important elections in US history, it's hard to predict the outcome of the first presidential rematch in almost 70 years. Larry Jacobs, who studies politics at the University of Minnesota, said, "It's really hard to see Biden winning when you look at all the problems he's facing. The economy seems to be getting worse with high inflation, and there are signs that support for Democrats is weakening, like the protests on college campuses and criticism from Arab Americans about Gaza.
"You put all that together, and it's like, how could Biden win? But then you look at Trump, who openly opposes the results of the election, and it's hard to understand how a candidate like that could win. It's a really confusing situation."
Normally, you have two new candidates or an incumbent facing a challenger in an election, so there's room for new ideas and surprises. But Biden, 81, and Trump, 77, are already the oldest men ever to be president, and people have heard a lot about them from books, news, and TV. Most voters have already made up their minds about them, or they think they have[2].
The win is not going to be easy for either of them
In the midst of a very unpredictable time, the upcoming election in the United States is facing a lot of challenges. There are many big events happening, like the aftermath of a worldwide sickness that killed over a million Americans, the attack on the US Capitol on January 6th, and a court decision that changed the rules about abortion. Also, there are wars happening in Ukraine and Gaza, which are testing how good President Biden is at handling foreign problems.
A political expert named Frank Luntz said that every week feels like a surprise, so it's hard to guess what will happen. Right now, Donald Trump seems to be a bit more popular than Joe Biden in the polls, especially in the states where the election will be decided. Biden seems to be losing support from some Black, Latino, and Asian American voters, which could be a problem for him.
F. Luntz also mentioned that Trump is getting more support from certain groups that he didn't have before, like young African Americans in Georgia and North Carolina, Latino voters in Arizona and Nevada, and union voters in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. People care a lot about the economy, and many feel unsure about their financial situation.
Even though the US economy is doing better than expected after the pandemic, inflation and high prices for bread, eggs, and gas are worrying voters. President Biden tried to help the economy by spending a lot of money on big projects, but many voters don't seem to think it's making a difference. Some even think they were better off when Trump was president, even though the facts say otherwise[3].
There are also concerns about immigration, with lots of people crossing the border from Mexico into the US. Biden is getting criticized by both Republicans and Democrats for how he's handling this issue. J. Biden has been leading the response of Western countries to Russia's invasion of Ukraine and has been supporting Israel in its conflict with Hamas. But some people, even in his own party, think he should be doing more to stop the fighting.
There are worries that protests over the Gaza conflict could hurt Biden's chances of being re-elected. Some people are also concerned about third-party candidates taking away votes from the main candidates. Also, many have concerns that Donald Trump might get the votes of people who are not happy with the government and the leader of the US who is ruling now.
