Northern lights tonight in New York: unlikely
Unlikely tonight. Kp forecast tonight up to 2.7; the northernmost city here needs 7.1.
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| City | Tonight | Kp needed | Clouds | Dark | Moon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo, New York | Unlikely | 7.1 | 85 % | 7:33 PM–6:31 AM | 33 % |
| New York City, New York | Unlikely | 8.1 | 95 % | 7:16 PM–6:09 AM | 33 % |
| Albany, New York | Unlikely | 7.1 | 65 % | 7:12 PM–6:10 AM | 33 % |
Where to look in New York
At this latitude the aurora appears low on the northern horizon during geomagnetic storms (Kp 8 or more), often as a green or reddish glow rather than dancing curtains overhead. Drive away from the city lights to a place with an open view to the north – a lake shore, a field or a hilltop – and use a phone camera in night mode, which picks up color the eye misses.
A bright moon and haze both wash out a faint display; check the hourly cloud cover above and look again later in the evening, when NOAA's short-term OVATION model gives a better picture of the next hour.
Northern lights in New York
Can I see the northern lights in New York tonight?
Unlikely: unlikely tonight. Buffalo needs about Kp 7.1; the forecast for its dark hours tonight is up to Kp 2.7, with 85 % cloud cover on average.
What Kp is needed to see the aurora in New York?
Buffalo: about Kp 7.1 (geomagnetic latitude 52.0°); New York City: about Kp 8.1 (geomagnetic latitude 49.9°); Albany: about Kp 7.1 (geomagnetic latitude 51.8°).
What is the best time to see the aurora?
Usually between about 10 PM and 2 AM local time, when your part of the Earth faces the night-side of the auroral oval – but during a strong storm it can appear as soon as it is dark. Give your eyes 15–20 minutes away from screens and lights.
Why can my phone see the aurora when I can't?
A phone camera's long exposure collects far more light than the eye and sees color better in the dark. At lower latitudes a faint aurora often looks grey or white to the eye and green or pink on a 3-second phone shot – try night mode pointed north.
How accurate is the forecast?
Kp forecasts a day or more ahead come from observations of the Sun and are uncertain by a step or two; the timing of a storm's arrival can be off by many hours. The OVATION model is good for the next 30–90 minutes. Check the page again in the evening.
Nearby
Sources: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (planetary Kp index and 3-day forecast, OVATION aurora model, G-scale outlook), Open-Meteo hourly cloud cover; sun and moon computed by 77.today. The aurora is notoriously hard to forecast beyond an hour or two – treat this as a guide.